Wednesday, December 7, 2011

YPPD - Bowl edition

I’ve taken a few cuts of my yppd scoring applied to the upcoming bowl games – hopefully this is fun/interesting for some here.

Best bowls to watch

Maximizes both quality of the teams and closeness of the games
(#'s after the team are their 'yppd scores')

#10 - Orange Bowl Clemson 0.6 v West Virginia 1.3
0.9 yppd (#9 in quality), 0.8 gap (tied for #9)

#9 - Independence Bowl Missouri 0.7 v North Carolina 0.9
0.8 yppd (#11), 0.2 gap (tied for #3)

#8 - Sugar Bowl Michigan 1.4 v Virginia Tech 0.8
1.1 (#7), 0.6 gap (tied for #7)

#7 - Capital One Bowl Nebraska 0.9 v South Carolina 1.2
1.1 (#8), 0.3 gap (tied for #4)

#6 - TicketCity Bowl Houston 1.6 v Penn St. 1.1
1.4 (#5), 0.5 gap (tied for #6)

#5 - Outback Bowl Georgia 1.1 v Michigan St. 1.6
1.4 (#4), 0.5 gap (tied for #6)

# 4 - Champs Sports Bowl Florida St. 1.1 v Notre Dame 1.4
1.2 (#6), 0.5 gap(tied for #4)

#3 - Title game Alabama 2.9 v LSU 2.2
2.5 (#1), 0.7 gap (tied for #8)

#2 - Fiesta Bowl Oklahoma St. 1.7 v Stanford 1.4
1.5 (#3), 0.3 gap (tied for #4)

#1 - Rose Bowl Oregon 2.0 v Wisconsin 1.6
1.5 (#2), 0.3 gap (tied for #5)

Least Competitive Bowls
Games with the largest gaps in skill between the teams.

Cotton Bowl
Arkansas 1.3 v Kansas St. (0.4)

Texas Bowl
Northwestern (0.5) v Texas A&M 1.0

Gator Bowl
Florida 1.4 v Ohio St. 0.1

Las Vegas Bowl
Arizona St. (0.1) v Boise St. 1.0

New Mexico Bowl
Temple 0.1 v Wyoming (1.0)

Armed Forces Bowl
BYU 0.1 v Tulsa 1.1

Most competitive bowls
Games with the most closely matched teams

Holiday Bowl
California 0.6 v Texas 0.5

Pinstripe Bowl
Iowa St.(0.4) v Rutgers (0.4)

Kraft Fight Hunger
Illinois 0.5 v UCLA 0.5

Independence Bowl
Missouri 0.7 v North Carolina 0.9

GoDaddy.Com Bowl
Arkansas St. 0.5 v Northern Ill. 0.7

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Ohio 0.3 v Utah St. 0.6

Beef O’Brady’s
FIU (0.0) v Marshall (0.2)

New Orleans Bowl
La.-Lafayette (0.0) v San Diego St. (0.3)

Little Caesar’s Pizza
Purdue (0.7) v Western Mich. (0.4)

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