Friday, January 20, 2012

Why teams win

Wanted to find why teams win games
Took data from 2002-2010
Looked for non-scoring stat that predicts winning, yards per play is #1... Accounting for 79% of games
Then looked at all wins where yards per play was wrong – turnover margin is #1 reason... Accounting for another 14% (93% total)
Then looked at all wins where yppd and turnover margin is wrong # of rushes is # 1 reason... Accounting for another 5% (98% total)
# passes completed it then then 1%, leaving 1%

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